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Risk, sizing & journaling

Lesson 6 of 6 11 min read

Reviewing your performance

Turning your journal into better decisions.

Key stats

Win rate, average win and loss in R, and expectancy: (win% × avg win) − (loss% × avg loss). Positive expectancy means your approach has an edge in your data so far.

Slice the data

Compare setups, coins, times of day and emotional states. You'll often find one setup is carrying results and another is losing money.

Iterate

Cut what doesn't work, focus on what does, and re-review monthly. Past results don't guarantee future ones — keep testing.

Key takeaways

  • Expectancy tells you if you have an edge.
  • Find your best and worst setups.
  • Review monthly, adjust gradually.

Exercise

After 20 journaled trades, calculate your expectancy and identify your best and worst setup.

Educational content only, not financial advice. Crypto is volatile and you can lose money.